Rabu, 23 November 2016

ANALISIS REGRESI PART 9



HALAMAN 154

Latihan 2.
Lakukan prediksi BB dengan variabel independent TB, BTL dan AK.

a.       Hitung SS for Regression  ( X3 | X1 , X2 ) ;
b.      Hitung SS for Residual ;
c.       Hitung Means SS for Regression ( X3 | X1 , X2 ) ;
d.      Hitung Mean SS for Residual ;
e.       Hitung nilai F parsial ;
f.       Hitung nilai r2
g.      Buktikan bahwa penambahan X3 berperan dalam memprediksi Y.

jawaban :
 

  • ·         HASIL SPSS DAN HASIL MODEL 1


Variables Entered/Removedb
Model
Variables Entered
Variables Removed
Method
1
Tinggi Badana
.
Enter
a. All requested variables entered.

b. Dependent Variable: Berat Badan

Model Summary
Model
R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Std. Error of the Estimate
1
.378a
.143
.081
11.8405
a. Predictors: (Constant), Tinggi Badan


ANOVAb
Model
Sum of Squares
df
Mean Square
F
Sig.
1
Regression
326.204
1
326.204
2.327
.149a
Residual
1962.751
14
140.196


Total
2288.954
15



a. Predictors: (Constant), Tinggi Badan



b. Dependent Variable: Berat Badan




Coefficientsa
Model
Unstandardized Coefficients
Standardized Coefficients
t
Sig.
B
Std. Error
Beta
1
(Constant)
-2.492
48.880

-.051
.960
Tinggi Badan
.441
.289
.378
1.525
.149
a. Dependent Variable: Berat Badan




Model 1.  BB ß0 + ß1 TB

Coefficient
Standart Error
Partial F
ß0 = -2.492


ß1 = .441
Sß1 = .289
2.327

Estimasi Model 1 : BB = -2.492 + 0.441 TB
ANOVA Tabel
Sumber
df
SS
MS
F
r2
Regresi
1
326.204
326.204
2.327
.143
Residual
14
1962.751
140.196
Total
15
2288.954





  • ·         HASIL SPSS DAN HASIL MODEL 2
Variables Entered/Removedb
Model
Variables Entered
Variables Removed
Method
1
Berat Badan Tanpa Lemak a
.
Enter
a. All requested variables entered.

b. Dependent Variable: Berat Badan


Model Summary
Model
R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Std. Error of the Estimate
1
.945a
.893
.886
4.1735
a. Predictors: (Constant), Berat Badan Tanpa Lemak

ANOVAb
Model
Sum of Squares
Df
Mean Square
F
Sig.
1
Regression
2045.099
1
2045.099
117.411
.000a
Residual
243.855
14
17.418


Total
2288.954
15



a. Predictors: (Constant), Berat Badan Tanpa Lemak


b. Dependent Variable: Berat Badan





Coefficientsa
Model
Unstandardized Coefficients
Standardized Coefficients
t
Sig.
B
Std. Error
Beta
1
(Constant)
-4.303
7.112

-.605
.555
Berat Badan Tanpa Lemak
1.554
.143
.945
10.836
.000
a. Dependent Variable: Berat Badan





Model 2.  BB ß0 + ß1 BTL

Coefficient
Standart Error
Partial F
ß0 = -4.303


ß1 = 1.554
Sß1 = 0.143


Estimasi Model 2 : BB -4.303 + -1.554 BTL
ANOVA Tabel
Sumber
df
SS
MS
F
r2
Regresi
1
2045.099
2045.099
117.411
.893
Residual
14
243.855
17.418
Total
15
2288.954





  • ·         HASIL SPSS DAN HASIL MODEL 3
Variables Entered/Removedb
Model
Variables Entered
Variables Removed
Method
1
Asupan Kalori a
.
Enter
a. All requested variables entered.

b. Dependent Variable: Berat Badan




Model Summary
Model
R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Std. Error of the Estimate
1
.617a
.381
.337
10.0593
a. Predictors: (Constant), Asupan Kalori


ANOVAb
Model
Sum of Squares
df
Mean Square
F
Sig.
1
Regression
872.301
1
872.301
8.620
.011a
Residual
1416.653
14
101.190


Total
2288.954
15



a. Predictors: (Constant), Asupan Kalori



b. Dependent Variable: Berat Badan




Coefficientsa
Model
Unstandardized Coefficients
Standardized Coefficients
t
Sig.
B
Std. Error
Beta
1
(Constant)
52.517
7.074

7.423
.000
Asupan Kalori
.013
.004
.617
2.936
.011
a. Dependent Variable: Berat Badan




Model 3.  BB ß0 + ß1 AK

Coefficient
Standart Error
Partial F
ß0 = 52.517


ß1 = 0 .013
Sß1 = 0.004
8.620

Estimasi Model 3 : BB  - 52.517  +  0 .013 AK
ANOVA Tabel
Sumber
df
SS
MS
F
r2
Regresi
1
872.301
872.301
8.620
.381
Residual
14
1416.653
101.190
Total
15
2288.954





  • ·         HASIL SPSS DAN HASIL MODEL 4


Variables Entered/Removedb
Model
Variables Entered
Variables Removed
Method
1
Berat Badan Tanpa Lemak , Tinggi Badana
.
Enter
a. All requested variables entered.

b. Dependent Variable: Berat Badan

Model Summary
Model
R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Std. Error of the Estimate
1
.954a
.910
.896
3.9870
a. Predictors: (Constant), Berat Badan Tanpa Lemak , Tinggi Badan

ANOVAb
Model
Sum of Squares
df
Mean Square
F
Sig.
1
Regression
2082.309
2
1041.154
65.499
.000a
Residual
206.645
13
15.896


Total
2288.954
15



a. Predictors: (Constant), Berat Badan Tanpa Lemak , Tinggi Badan

b. Dependent Variable: Berat Badan




Coefficientsa
Model
Unstandardized Coefficients
Standardized Coefficients
t
Sig.
B
Std. Error
Beta
1
(Constant)
-27.527
16.631

-1.655
.122
Tinggi Badan
.155
.101
.132
1.530
.150
Berat Badan Tanpa Lemak
1.496
.142
.910
10.511
.000
a. Dependent Variable: Berat Badan





Model 4.  BB ß0 + ß1 TB + ß2 UM

Coefficient
Standart Error
Partial F
ß0 = -27.527


ß1 = 0.155
Sß1 = 0.101
165.499
ß2 = 1.496
Sß2 = 0.142


Estimasi Model 4 : BB -27.527 + 0.155 TB + 0.1496 BTL
ANOVA Tabel
Sumber
df
SS
MS
F
r2
Regresi
2
2082.309
1041.154
165.499
.910
Residual
13
206.645
15.896
Total
15
2288.954





  • ·         HASIL SPSS DAN HASIL MODEL 5


Variables Entered/Removedb
Model
Variables Entered
Variables Removed
Method
1
Asupan Kalori , Tinggi Badana
.
Enter
a. All requested variables entered.

b. Dependent Variable: Berat Badan

Model Summary
Model
R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Std. Error of the Estimate
1
.747a
.557
.489
8.8280
a. Predictors: (Constant), Asupan Kalori , Tinggi Badan

ANOVAb
Model
Sum of Squares
df
Mean Square
F
Sig.
1
Regression
1275.821
2
637.911
8.185
.005a
Residual
1013.133
13
77.933


Total
2288.954
15



a. Predictors: (Constant), Asupan Kalori , Tinggi Badan


b. Dependent Variable: Berat Badan




Coefficientsa
Model
Unstandardized Coefficients
Standardized Coefficients
t
Sig.
B
Std. Error
Beta
1
(Constant)
-31.333
37.369

-.838
.417
Tinggi Badan
.492
.216
.421
2.275
.040
Asupan Kalori
.014
.004
.646
3.491
.004
a. Dependent Variable: Berat Badan




Model 5.  CHOL ß0 + ß1 (UM)2 + ß2 TG

Coefficient
Standart Error
Partial F
ß0 =  -31.333


ß1 = 0.492
Sß1 = 0.216
8.185
ß2 = 0.014
Sß2 = 0.044


Estimasi Model 5 : -31.333+.492+.014 AK
ANOVA Tabel
Sumber
df
SS
MS
F
r2
Regresi
2
1275.821
637.911
8.185
.557
Residual
13
1013.133
77.933
Total
15
2288.954





  • ·         HASIL SPSS DAN HASIL MODEL 6


Variables Entered/Removedb
Model
Variables Entered
Variables Removed
Method
1
Asupan Kalori , Tinggi Badan, Berat Badan Tanpa Lemak a
.
Enter
a. All requested variables entered.

b. Dependent Variable: Berat Badan

Model Summary
Model
R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Std. Error of the Estimate
1
.969a
.939
.923
3.4224
a. Predictors: (Constant), Asupan Kalori , Tinggi Badan, Berat Badan Tanpa Lemak


ANOVAb
Model
Sum of Squares
df
Mean Square
F
Sig.
1
Regression
2148.400
3
716.133
61.141
.000a
Residual
140.554
12
11.713


Total
2288.954
15



a. Predictors: (Constant), Asupan Kalori , Tinggi Badan, Berat Badan Tanpa Lemak
b. Dependent Variable: Berat Badan




Coefficientsa
Model
Unstandardized Coefficients
Standardized Coefficients
T
Sig.
B
Std. Error
Beta
1
(Constant)
-33.412
14.489

-2.306
.040
Tinggi Badan
.210
.090
.180
2.339
.037
Berat Badan Tanpa Lemak
1.291
.150
.785
8.631
.000
Asupan Kalori
.004
.002
.209
2.375
.035
a. Dependent Variable: Berat Badan





Model 6.  BB = ß0 + ß1 TB + ß3 AK + E

Coefficient
Standart Error
Partial F
ß0 = -33.412


ß1 = .210
Sß1 = .090
61.141
ß2 = 1.291
Sß2 = .150

ß3 = .004
Sß3 = .002


Estimasi Model 6 : -21.969 + 0.079 TRIG + 9.220 UM – 0.088 UMSQ
ANOVA Tabel
Sumber
df
SS
MS
F
r2
Regresi
3
2148.400
716.133
61.141
.939
Residual
12
140.554
11.713
Total
15
2288.954




 Uji parsial F
ANOVA tabel untuk BB dengan variabel independent TB, BTL, dan AK
Sumber
df
SS
MS
F
            X1
Regresi X2|X3
           X3|X1,X2
1
1
1
326.204
1756.105
66.091
326.204
1756.105
66.091
29.195
157.17
5.915
0.142
Residual
41
140.554
11.173


Total
44
2288.954



*P<0.05

Ringkasan Table analisis yang bisa memantu memilih model estimasi terbaik :
No.
Model Estimasi
F
1
Y= -2,492 + 0,441 TB
            (.289)
2.327
0,014
2
Y= -4,303 + 1,554 BTL
              (.143)
117.411
0,893
3
Y=52,217 + 0,013 AK
               (.004)*
8.620
0,381
4
Y=-27,527 + 0,155 TB + 1,496 BTL
              (.101) (.142)
65.499
0,909
5
Y= -31,333 + 0,492 TB + 0,014 AK
             (.216) (.004)
8.185
0,557
6
Y= -33,412 + 0,210 TB + 1,291 BTL + 0,004 AK
              (.090) (.150)  (.002)
61.141
0,938
*bermakna p<0,05

Uji F= (326,204/1)/ (1756,105+66,091+140,554/14)= 2,326
(F tabel = 4,60) Hasil data p>0,05=tidak signifikan
Dari keenam model estimasi terlihat bahwa variable tinggi badan secara konsisten tidak berpengaruh terhadap berat badan (p<0,05). pada model estimasi 1 tampak nilai r² sebesar 0,014 dan bila dibandingkan dengan model estimasi lainnya (2,3,4,5,6) mengalami kenailam yang signifikan dengan jumlah yang cukup berarti, Hingga di model ke 6 mencapai 0,938 dari 0,014 di model 1.  
dengan demikian kita bisa berkesimpulan variable tinggi badan tidak memiliki pengaruh berarti pada peningkatan berat badan, namun pada model ke enam dimana penambahan variable berat tanpa lemak dan asupan kalori mampu menjelaskan variasi berat badan dan perlu ditambahkan ke dalam model. model akhir yaitu : 
Y= -33,412 + 0,210 TB + 1,291 BTL + 0,004AK

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